Mapping global variation in dengue transmission intensity

Distribution, seasonal variation & dengue transmission prediction in Sisaket, Thailand

BACKGROUND & OBJECTIVES Environmental factors including weather variables may play a significant role in the transmission of dengue. This study investigated the effect of seasonal variation on the abundance of Aedes aegypti and Ae. albopictus larvae and explored the impact of weather variability on dengue transmission in Sisaket, Thailand. METHODS The monthly mosquito larval surveys were carr...

Mapping Malaria Transmission Intensity in Malawi, 2000–2010

Substantial development assistance has been directed towards reducing the high malaria burden in Malawi over the past decade. We assessed changes in transmission over this period of malaria control scale-up by compiling community Plasmodium falciparum rate (PfPR) data during 2000-2011 and used model-based geostatistical methods to predict mean PfPR2-10 in 2000, 2005, and 2010. In addition, we c...

Global Stability of Multigroup Dengue Disease Transmission Model

We investigate a class of multigroup dengue epidemic model. We show that the global dynamics are determined by the basic reproductive number R0. We present that when R0 ≤ 1, there is a unique disease-free equilibrium which is globally asymptotically stable; when R0 > 1, there exists a unique endemic equilibrium and it is globally asymptotically stable proved by a graph-theoretic approach to the...

Dengue Transmission

Estimating Dengue Transmission Intensity from Sero-Prevalence Surveys in Multiple Countries

BACKGROUND Estimates of dengue transmission intensity remain ambiguous. Since the majority of infections are asymptomatic, surveillance systems substantially underestimate true rates of infection. With advances in the development of novel control measures, obtaining robust estimates of average dengue transmission intensity is key for assessing both the burden of disease from dengue and the like...